Hi Chris,
I attended your presentation in Cathedral City last week, and it was incredibly informative. I can’t thank you enough. Building on what I took away from that, I’ve come up with a few more questions for you.
I mentioned to you that my wife and I may (or may not) have to relocate within the next 2-3 years, and that we’re interested in buying now primarily because we’re tired of renting, and asked if buying would be a good choice for us. We’re motivated to buy because the owner has defaulted on the condo we’ve been renting for the past 8 months, so we need to find a new place to live. We don’t like the prospect of having to move every 6-12 months because other people can’t pay their mortgages. Moving takes time and costs money. Owning a home now would give us the security of knowing that no one can make us leave unless we miss our payments.
We understand that it’s not likely we’ll be able to sell a home 3 years from now and break even, but what if we plan to rent it out after we leave? If we were to buy a condo in our area today and rent it out immediately, the margin between ownership costs and rent payments would at least come close to covering the costs associated with vacancies and maintenance. However, I don’t know much about rental markets, so I can’t project what will happen 2-3 years from now, and I don’t know if this is a solid justification for purchasing a home right now.
My long list of questions:
1.) Is purchasing now with the intent to rent ~3 years from now worth considering, and is it a good bet that home prices will return to current values within ~5 years, or is there too much uncertainty for this to be worthy of consideration?
2.) I understand the overall market will continue to fall in the short term, but is this limited to high value properties, or are condos/townhomes/etc. also likely to lose 10%-20% over the next few years?
3.) If short-term resale value and/or rental prices are a primary concern, should we be aiming for the absolute cheapest property for our area (~$100k), or something in a more upscale neighborhood (~$150k)? Do you think the higher end (even within this specific segment of the market) is likely to continue to fall more than the lower end, or are the differences likely to be negligible?
4.) Though the $8000 federal tax credit has to be returned if we move out within 3 years, is it true that we can keep a portion of it if we sell the property at a loss within 3 years? I’m having trouble finding documentation on this. Can I assume this tax credit hedges the risk of depreciation regardless of whether or not we sell within 3 years?
5.) I desperately want the stability of ownership, but I want to be confident that I will save money, or at least won’t lose a whole lot of it. Do you think it’s likely I will be able to break even by selling within 3-5 years, even if I don’t occupy it the entire time?
I figure the savings in monthly housing costs alone will offset the cost of closing within 18-24 months, and if my down payment is large enough and prices don’t fall more than another 15-20%, then I won’t end up underwater. Is my logic flawed?
I wish I could have stated all of that more concisely; I’m just worried there are considerations I’m not taking in or don’t fully understand. Thanks again for all your help!
Brandon Miscellaneous